AUD/USD Prediction Ahead of US Retail Sales and Australian Jobs Data

  • AUD/USD price saw massive bearishness lately.
  • The decline amplified after the latest United States inflation data.
  • Attention shifted towards the upcoming US retail sales and Australian jobs data.

The Australian dollar (AUD-USD) plunged towards the lowest mark in over a week following continued US dollar strength. It crushed towards the 0.6700 low, which was approximately 3% beneath this week’s highest zone.

US Retail Sales & Australia Jobs Data

The AUD-USD declined early yesterday as market players concentrated on the surging American inflation. Wednesday’s data showed the PPI (producer price index) declined from July’s 9.8% to August’s 8.7%.

Barring the volatile energy and food prices, the producer price index slumped to 7.3% from 7.7%. Meanwhile, the dip was slightly more than the 7.1% median estimate. The PPI increased to 0.4% from 0.3% on MoM (month-on-month) basis.

These figures surface one day after the United States announced massive consumer inflation stats. BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) revealed that headline consumer inflation increased by 0.1% last month. Also, core inflation remained elevated during this publication.

AUD/USD will react to the coming Australian jobs figures (scheduled for today). Reuters interviewed some economists who expect the data to indicate that the Aussies economy added around 35K jobs last month after losing more than 40K jobs the prior month.

Also, they expect the Australian unemployment rate stayed unaltered at 3.4% over the previous month. Furthermore, analysts anticipate the participation rate hiked to 66.6% from 66.4%. These figures will clarify the nation’s economic status.

Last week, RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) introduced another 0.50% rate hike amid the fight against surging inflation. Also, the AUD-USD price will respond to the United States retail sales numbers. Economists expect a 0.2% gain in retail sales last month amid eased inflation.

AUD-USD Prediction

The 4hr chart shows AUD/USD pair maintained massive bearishness over the last few weeks. The sell-off extended after the recent United States inflation stats. The downward move saw it moving beneath all MAs. Also, it lost the critical support of 0.6840.

Also, the drop beneath the head-shoulders pattern’s neckline can welcome plummets towards the 0.6600 support. Actions past the 0.6800 resistance will cancel the bearish narrative.

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